Between the beach, the family fun, the picnics and the sales, it’s important to take a moment to think about what Memorial Day really is. We are honoring and remembering those men and women who have sacrificed their lives defending our country and our values. Think for a moment, as you look at the images below, of those they have left behind and share for a second in their grief because they have sacrificed too. This is what Memorial Day is all about.
Thoughts
Memorial Day
It’s Memorial Day. For many it’s a day for barbecue, for the beach, for burgers and beer. But I would hope that we would take a few minutes to remember those whom we have lost. There is plenty of time to celebrate victories and our military but today is the time to recognize the true cost of the wars we have sent our men and women to fight and, again, remember those we have lost.
Thank you.
End the Pandemic
A few days ago I published a list of five areas that need attention from the incoming Biden administration. Number 5 on the list was ‘End the Pandemic’ but really that needs to be number one. Ending the pandemic is a critical prerequisite to getting much else done. Here’s what I think needs to be done.
- Simplify and Accelerate the Administration of the Vaccines.
We’re fortunate in that we have two vaccines, both based on mRNA technology that are shown to be highly effective and are being produced and distributed to the states. More are on the way. Here’s a rundown.
The Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine uses an engineered virus to carry certain coronavirus genes into cells and have them make virus proteins which generate an immune response. Based on Phase 3 trials it appears to have good efficacy – between 62 and 90%. In what appears to be a paradox, trial participants who got a lower first dose appear to have a better immune response. There is some thought that the larger first dose triggers an immune response to the vaccine itself. In any case the vaccine has been approved for emergency use in a number of countries and AstraZeneca is having discussions with the FDA about US approval. In contrast to Pfizer and Moderna, AstraZeneca has indicated that it can produce up to 2 billion doses a year. The US has pre-purchased 300 million doses.
Johnson & Johnson has developed a similar vaccine which showed good results in Phase 2 trials. Results from Phase 3 trials are expected within days. Unlike the vaccines above, the J&J vaccine requires only a single dose. The US has pre-purchased 100 million doses of the J&J vaccine and, while there have been some initial production delays, the company indicates it can produce 1 billion doses in 2021.
Novavax, a Maryland company, has developed a vaccine which sticks virus proteins onto microscopic particles to be injected. Preliminary and Phase 2 results have been promising and a Phase 3 trial was launched in August in the UK with results likely early this year. Novavax expects to deliver 100 million doses to the US in 2021.
There are dozens of other vaccines in testing or production, but mostly outside the US. Russia’s ‘Sputnik’ vaccine seems to be quite effective. But looking at just the vaccines above, the US should receive 900 million doses in 2021 – more than enough to vaccinate the entire population.
The trick, of course is to get the vaccine into our arms and not sit on the shelf while more people are infected an die. Here’s what we need to do:
- Simplify the Priority List. Administer the vaccine to direct health care workers and then people 65 and over. Trying to set aside vaccines for nursing homes and front-line workers has proven too complicated for most localities. If we vaccinate as many as possible, those folks will get included.
- Provide Additional Resources to Local Health Departments. Most have been struggling and need help, particularly in getting the vaccines to poorer neighborhoods. Send it.
- Stop Trying to Persuade People. Some people are afraid of the vaccines. Don’t waste effort at this point trying to persuade them. There are plenty who eagerly want the vaccine. It will be easier after we see results.
- Shut Down Indoor Restaurants and Bars
There’s plenty of evidence showing that the virus spreads efficiently in poorly ventilated indoor areas. Because of the rapid spread of the virus, we’ve close schools and taken other steps that damage the economy and our well-being. We also need to compensate the restaurants and bars we shut down by paying their employees and their expenses until we can allow them to reopen.
- Consider Better Masks
There is strong evidence that high-filtration masks are much more efficient at reducing transmission of the virus. Consider using the Defense Production Act to produce large numbers of these masks and sending sets to every household.
So far around 20 million Americans have been infected and more than 10 million vaccinated. By mid-May we could see cumulative infections of around 25 million and about 100 million vaccinated and the transmission of the virus should slow dramatically. We just need to keep focused and take care of ourselves and others.
Lots To Do!
Ten days from now, on January 20th at noon, Joe Biden will be sworn in as the next President of the United States and Kamala Harris will be sworn in as the next Vice-President. With Harris as Vice-President, the balance of power in the Senate will swing to the Democrats (albeit only slightly) and the obstructionist Mitch McConnell will be relegated to minority leader.
With Democrats in control of the House of Representatives, the Senate and the Presidency, there is an opportunity to get things moving again and accomplish a lot, and there is certainly a lot to do. Over the next several days I’m going to try to describe what I think needs to get done. I’m going to try to organize my thoughts into five categories:
- Economic Security for Working Women and Men. Tens of millions of Americans, even in two income households, are just barely scraping by…or less. Wages have been stagnant or worse and costs of housing and other necessities have continued to increase. Child care costs are astronomical in many places with infant care costing an average of about $15,000 a year. College costs have also skyrocketed. It’s a recipe for disaster for our country.
- A Sustainable Environment. I live on the seashore and most of us here are aware of the dangers of rising sea level. We see more frequent sunny-day flooding and stronger storms. Climate change is, of course, not the only environmental issue. There are things we can do but we need to act quickly.
- Equal Treatment for All. I don’t like to use the term ‘Racial Justice’ because it means different things to different people. The concept, though, that all of us deserve fair and equal treatment regardless of our race, color, age, national origin, sexual orientation, gender or belief seems obvious to me but we are a long way from that ideal in our country.
- Rebalance the Economy. The United States has the highest level of income inequality of any developed country and every year it gets worse. All of the increase in wealth since the Great Recession has gone to the wealthiest fifth of our people and almost all of it has gone to the top 5%. We need to enact policies and laws that will help share the wealth more broadly. The way we are going now will only lead to disaster.
- End the Pandemic. We need real leadership from our Federal Government and from our President to bring this horrible pandemic to an end. We can do it, but we need clear guidance and direction from the top.
Please feel free to comment with your suggestions. I’m sure there are things I could have said better and maybe some things I’ve left out.
-Tom
The Impeachment Mess
I understand there are a lot of people who are furious with the President and afraid of what he might do. I’m furious with the man too, but for more than just his actions this past Wednesday. However, I don’t think impeachment is the way to go. Let’s look at the calendar to better understand why.
The House is not likely to have a vote on any impeachment articles until sometime later this coming week. In any case, the Senate is not in session (except for pro forma sessions) until January 19 – one day before Inauguration Day. Majority Leader McConnell is unlikely to take up any impeachment articles that day (Chuck Schumer will not be majority leader until Kamala Harris is confirmed on the 20th).
So, if the House does vote for impeachment articles, the Senate will have to take them up after Biden is confirmed and Trump is out of office. This will have the unfortunate effect of delaying confirmation of Biden’s cabinet nominees and any further COVID relief legislation. It would be very unfortunate if that were the case. Given the delay in transition, it’s very important that Biden’s nominees get confirmed and in place as soon as possible.
Further, the effect of impeachment may only be to make Trump ineligible for running again in 2024 and even that will require two thirds of the Senate to agree which I think is very unlikely.
There’s lots to do folks and I’ll be talking about some of it soon, so let’s have our Congress get on with implementing Biden’s agenda and stop wasting time.
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