Politics & Government

Economic Security for Working Women and Men

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Now that President Biden has been sworn in, it’s time to get down to business. I posted a week or so ago a list of five areas where I believe America needs to make some serious progress if we are to defuse some of the anger that pervades parts of our society and make economic and social progress toward an America that works for all of us and is sustainable.

The first of these areas is the need to provide economic security for working men and women. Over the past few decades, the share of income going to what we might call the ‘working class’ has declined significantly even while the cost of housing, education, child care and so forth have all increased. This issue has contributed directly to increased number of young people living with their parents, decline in the marriage rate and rapidly increasing levels of household debt. We urgently need to deal with this problem; here’s how.

Increase The Minimum Wage. The current minimum wage in the US is $7.25 per hour. In 1968, the minimum wage was $1.60. If the minimum wage had kept up with the increase in worker productivity, it would be over $19 today. We need to increase the minimum wage to at least $15/hour ($31,200/year). Further, we need to do this quickly and not put it off until 2025 or even later as some politicians seem to want. The minimum wage needs to be at $15/hour not later than January 1, 2022 and needs to be indexed to inflation from that point. This increase will affect between 20 and 30 million working Americans and help them feel they are being compensated fairly for their labor. They will be able to afford a life with dignity.

You will hear a lot of people say that increasing the minimum wage will cost jobs and, to be sure, some jobs will be lost. But the increase in purchasing power of the millions of Americans who receive pay increases will help offset that and create new jobs. A lot of business owners will say that they cannot afford to pay that much and will go out of business. To them I say that if your business plan depends on paying starvation wages to your employees, you need to make some changes. Some will say that the minimum wage in their state/county/city/region should be lower because wages there are lower than the rest of the country. But we don’t want to perpetuate pockets of poverty in our country. All Americans deserve a decent wage.

I should point out that by increasing the minimum wage, the government will save significant amounts of money in the cost of food stamps, rent subsidies, certain tax credits and so forth. We need to do this.

Limit Child-Care Costs for Families. Childcare costs have skyrocketed in the past decade. The average cost for a year of full-time care averaged about $9600 in 2019. The median wage in 2019 was about $35,000 and the median household income was about $68,000. You can see what a bite childcare can take out of a family’s budget, particularly if there is more than one child. The result is either poverty or one parent dropping out of the workforce (usually a woman) to care for children which further reduces the household income.

The Child Care for Working Families Act, introduced by Patty Murray in the previous congress would limit the amount that families pay for child care to 7% of their household income. It would also strengthen existing child care and fund training for childcare workers. It would also support universal access to quality pre-school programs. We need to enact this legislation for the sake of our children.

Housing Costs. Fewer and fewer American families can afford decent housing. There are a variety of reasons for this including the depressed wages of working class families. The increase in the minimum wage should help deal with that a bit. One of the largest contributors to the high cost of housing, though, is restrictive zoning and regulations. The most affordable housing to build are apartments but zoning in many places strictly limits the amount of land available for housing. Other local restrictions like parking requirements, height limits, minimum lot sizes and so on limit the amount of affordable housing that can be built. While zoning is a local issue, the Federal government can set certain standards and withhold funding from localities that have unreasonable restrictions.

Strengthen Unions. One of the reasons the country was more equal in the 1950s and 1960s was that unions were stronger. They were able to negotiate a fair share of the economy’s gains for workers. Unions helped improve working conditions and wages for everyone. But unions have weakened and the decline of the middle class almost exactly tracks the decline of unions.

Unions raise wages for all types of workers and improve benefits for workers including health insurance, retirement, paid sick leave and family leave. Unions are an important check on the power of corporations and the wealthy in our democracy. Unions support policies that help low and moderate-income voters. Corporate interest groups such as the National Restaurant Association, National Chamber of Commerce and oil companies almost always lobby against the interests of low and moderate-income voters.

Here’s what needs to be done to strengthen unions and help restore the middle class:

  1. Make it easier to join a union with a simple up or down vote. Right now, long delays and procedural hurdles give big employers plenty of time to whip up campaigns against unions, even threatening they’ll close down and move somewhere else if a union is voted in.
  2. Real penalties for companies that violate labor laws by firing workers or intimidating others. These moves are illegal, but nowadays the worst that can happen is employers get slapped on the wrist. If found guilty they have to repay lost wages to the workers they fire. Some employers treat this as a cost of doing business. Penalties should be large enough to stop this.
  3. Enact Federal Laws that pre-empt state ‘right to work’ laws. These laws are really ‘right to free-load’ laws. They allow employees to receive all the benefits of union representation without contributing to the cost of running the union. States that have ‘right to work’ laws have wages that are an average of $1500/year lower than other states. Workers in right-to-work states are also less likely to have health benefits and pension benefits.
  4. Allow Workers to strike, picket or boycott their own employers and other employers. Currently, unions can only negotiate or strike their own employers. Companies these days outsource work to other companies they control in order to limit the rights of employees to negotiate with their ‘real’ employer. Labor laws must be adapted to our current economy.

We’ve ignored our working women and men for too long. We need to take action to make our country more equitable and ensure that those who work in our country receive fair compensation for their labor and can afford to be a part of the American dream. These are my thoughts about how to do that and I’d love to hear yours.

Posted by Tom

End the Pandemic

Vaccination Information | Ross County Health District

A few days ago I published a list of five areas that need attention from the incoming Biden administration. Number 5 on the list was ‘End the Pandemic’ but really that needs to be number one. Ending the pandemic is a critical prerequisite to getting much else done. Here’s what I think needs to be done.

  • Simplify and Accelerate the Administration of the Vaccines.

We’re fortunate in that we have two vaccines, both based on mRNA technology that are shown to be highly effective and are being produced and distributed to the states. More are on the way. Here’s a rundown.

The Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine uses an engineered virus to carry certain coronavirus genes into cells and have them make virus proteins which generate an immune response. Based on Phase 3 trials it appears to have good efficacy – between 62 and 90%. In what appears to be a paradox, trial participants who got a lower first dose appear to have a better immune response. There is some thought that the larger first dose triggers an immune response to the vaccine itself. In any case the vaccine has been approved for emergency use in a number of countries and AstraZeneca is having discussions with the FDA about US approval. In contrast to Pfizer and Moderna, AstraZeneca has indicated that it can produce up to 2 billion doses a year. The US has pre-purchased 300 million doses.

Johnson & Johnson has developed a similar vaccine which showed good results in Phase 2 trials. Results from Phase 3 trials are expected within days. Unlike the vaccines above, the J&J vaccine requires only a single dose. The US has pre-purchased 100 million doses of the J&J vaccine and, while there have been some initial production delays, the company indicates it can produce 1 billion doses in 2021.

Novavax, a Maryland company, has developed a vaccine which sticks virus proteins onto microscopic particles to be injected. Preliminary and Phase 2 results have been promising and a Phase 3 trial was launched in August in the UK with results likely early this year. Novavax expects to deliver 100 million doses to the US in 2021.

There are dozens of other vaccines in testing or production, but mostly outside the US. Russia’s ‘Sputnik’ vaccine seems to be quite effective. But looking at just the vaccines above, the US should receive 900 million doses in 2021 – more than enough to vaccinate the entire population.

The trick, of course is to get the vaccine into our arms and not sit on the shelf while more people are infected an die. Here’s what we need to do:

  1. Simplify the Priority List. Administer the vaccine to direct health care workers and then people 65 and over. Trying to set aside vaccines for nursing homes and front-line workers has proven too complicated for most localities. If we vaccinate as many as possible, those folks will get included.
  2. Provide Additional Resources to Local Health Departments. Most have been struggling and need help, particularly in getting the vaccines to poorer neighborhoods. Send it.
  3. Stop Trying to Persuade People. Some people are afraid of the vaccines. Don’t waste effort at this point trying to persuade them. There are plenty who eagerly want the vaccine. It will be easier after we see results.
  • Shut Down Indoor Restaurants and Bars

There’s plenty of evidence showing that the virus spreads efficiently in poorly ventilated indoor areas. Because of the rapid spread of the virus, we’ve close schools and taken other steps that damage the economy and our well-being. We also need to compensate the restaurants and bars we shut down by paying their employees and their expenses until we can allow them to reopen.

  • Consider Better Masks

There is strong evidence that high-filtration masks are much more efficient at reducing transmission of the virus. Consider using the Defense Production Act to produce large numbers of these masks and sending sets to every household.

So far around 20 million Americans have been infected and more than 10 million vaccinated. By mid-May we could see cumulative infections of around 25 million and about 100 million vaccinated and the transmission of the virus should slow dramatically. We just need to keep focused and take care of ourselves and others.

Posted by Tom in Politics & Government, Thoughts

Lots To Do!

Kamala Harris Endorsed Joe Biden This Morning – Mother Jones

Ten days from now, on January 20th at noon, Joe Biden will be sworn in as the next President of the United States and Kamala Harris will be sworn in as the next Vice-President. With Harris as Vice-President, the balance of power in the Senate will swing to the Democrats (albeit only slightly) and the obstructionist Mitch McConnell will be relegated to minority leader.

With Democrats in control of the House of Representatives, the Senate and the Presidency, there is an opportunity to get things moving again and accomplish a lot, and there is certainly a lot to do. Over the next several days I’m going to try to describe what I think needs to get done. I’m going to try to organize my thoughts into five categories:

  1. Economic Security for Working Women and Men. Tens of millions of Americans, even in two income households, are just barely scraping by…or less. Wages have been stagnant or worse and costs of housing and other necessities have continued to increase. Child care costs are astronomical in many places with infant care costing an average of about $15,000 a year. College costs have also skyrocketed. It’s a recipe for disaster for our country.
  2. A Sustainable Environment. I live on the seashore and most of us here are aware of the dangers of rising sea level. We see more frequent sunny-day flooding and stronger storms. Climate change is, of course, not the only environmental issue. There are things we can do but we need to act quickly.
  3. Equal Treatment for All. I don’t like to use the term ‘Racial Justice’ because it means different things to different people. The concept, though, that all of us deserve fair and equal treatment regardless of our race, color, age, national origin, sexual orientation, gender or belief seems obvious to me but we are a long way from that ideal in our country.
  4. Rebalance the Economy. The United States has the highest level of income inequality of any developed country and every year it gets worse. All of the increase in wealth since the Great Recession has gone to the wealthiest fifth of our people and almost all of it has gone to the top 5%. We need to enact policies and laws that will help share the wealth more broadly. The way we are going now will only lead to disaster.
  5. End the Pandemic. We need real leadership from our Federal Government and from our President to bring this horrible pandemic to an end. We can do it, but we need clear guidance and direction from the top.

Please feel free to comment with your suggestions. I’m sure there are things I could have said better and maybe some things I’ve left out.

-Tom

Posted by Tom in Environment, Politics & Government, Thoughts

The Impeachment Mess

The Constitution's Option for Impeachment After a President Leaves Office

I understand there are a lot of people who are furious with the President and afraid of what he might do. I’m furious with the man too, but for more than just his actions this past Wednesday. However, I don’t think impeachment is the way to go. Let’s look at the calendar to better understand why.

The House is not likely to have a vote on any impeachment articles until sometime later this coming week. In any case, the Senate is not in session (except for pro forma sessions) until January 19 – one day before Inauguration Day. Majority Leader McConnell is unlikely to take up any impeachment articles that day (Chuck Schumer will not be majority leader until Kamala Harris is confirmed on the 20th).

So, if the House does vote for impeachment articles, the Senate will have to take them up after Biden is confirmed and Trump is out of office. This will have the unfortunate effect of delaying confirmation of Biden’s cabinet nominees and any further COVID relief legislation. It would be very unfortunate if that were the case. Given the delay in transition, it’s very important that Biden’s nominees get confirmed and in place as soon as possible.

Further, the effect of impeachment may only be to make Trump ineligible for running again in 2024 and even that will require two thirds of the Senate to agree which I think is very unlikely.

There’s lots to do folks and I’ll be talking about some of it soon, so let’s have our Congress get on with implementing Biden’s agenda and stop wasting time.

Posted by Tom in Politics & Government, Thoughts

And There They Go!

Rats fleeing the sinking ship : PoliticalHumor

I’m not surprised to see a lot of resignations in the Trump administration although, at this point, I think they’ve just decided to use up their vacation days before the 20th. Let’s take a look at who resigned.

Elaine Chao, Secretary of Transportation, who stood beside President Trump while he praised the white supremacists who brought mayhem to Charlottesville as ‘Very fine people’. Chao, who of course is married to Mitch McConnell accomplished virtually nothing to improve or maintain the country’s infrastructure during her tenure and instead focused on weakening greenhouse gas rules and supporting her father’s shipping business with many public appearances and trying to cut funding and loan guarantees from competing, American, shipping companies. Her father made a gift to Chao and her husband valued, according to Federal disclosures, at between $5 million and $25 million. She was being investigated by the Department of Transportation’s Inspector General over whether she gave preferential treatment to projects in Kentucky – her husband’s home state. Trump ended that investigation by firing the Inspector General. Good riddance to that rat.

Betsy DeVos, Secretary of Education who redirected millions of dollars of Coronavirus funds intended for public schools to private and religious schools. She also cancelled regulations intended to protect students from predatory practices. She cut the size of the team investigating abuses and fraud by for-profit colleges and then, to put the icing on the cake, appointed Julian Schmoke as the team’s new supervisor. Schmoke is former dean of DeVry Education Group, one of the organizations being investigated. in 2019, Devos unsuccessfully attempted to cut funds for the Special Olympics. This was her third attempt. DeVos took many other actions to reduce funding for public schools and public education and redirect it to private and religious schools. Her family is among the 100 richest in the country. Her brother, Erik Prince, is the founder of Blackwater USA. Good bye to this rat.

Who else has resigned…Mick Mulvaney, former chief of staff to Trump, Matthew Pottinger, Deputy National Security Advisor, John Costello, Deputy Assistant Secretary at Commerce, Tyler Goodspeed, Council of Economic Advisors, Stephanie Grisham, Melania’s Chief of Staff, Rickie Niceta, Social Secretary at the White House, Sarah Matthews, Deputy White House Press Secretary. I’m sure there will be more soon. It’s the nature of rats.

Posted by Tom in Politics & Government